Line 10: |
Line 10: |
| This graph shows the data as a ''time series'': | | This graph shows the data as a ''time series'': |
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− | [[File:Barrie time series.jpg|border|700 px]] | + | [[File:Barrie time series.jpg|border|600 px]] |
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| The number of times each depth of storm occured can be counted and grouped like this: | | The number of times each depth of storm occured can be counted and grouped like this: |
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− | [[File:Picture1.jpg|border|700 px]] | + | [[File:Picture1.jpg|border|600 px]] |
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− | These same data can be fitted to a single equation which would then allow predictions to be made. In this example an exponential distribution function has been selected and an [https://www.wessa.net/rwasp_fitdistrexp.wasp online tool] used to find the fitting parameter 'λ'. | + | These same data can be fitted to a single equation which would then allow predictions to be made. In this example an exponential distribution function has been selected and an [https://www.wessa.net/rwasp_fitdistrexp.wasp online tool] used to find the fitting parameter 'λ'. |
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| <math>f\left(x,\lambda\right)=\lambda e^{-\lambda x}</math> | | <math>f\left(x,\lambda\right)=\lambda e^{-\lambda x}</math> |
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| + | The fitting found λ to be 0.11. When the equation is plotted, the graph looks like this: |
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| + | [[File:Barrie prob.jpg|border|600 px]] |
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| + | But the patterns aren't very easy to understand like this. The cumulative distribution function uses the same λ and is often a more useful way to understand the data. |
| + | <math>F\left(x,\lambda\right)=1- e^{-\lambda x}</math> |
| + | |
| + | Plotted, it looks like this: |